Odds
Player analysis
A. Rublev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.1 to 17.1, with at least one match where A. Rublev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Rublev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.
F. Cobolli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.1, meaning F. Cobolli has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving F. Cobolli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 21 Mar | Collignon | 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 9 Mar | Cobolli | 1-6 2-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Cobolli | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 1 Mar | Cobolli | 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 28 Feb | Kecmanovic | 6-7 6-3 4-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 21 Mar | Rublev | 7-6 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Rublev | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 27 Feb | Rublev | 5-7 6-7 | W |
| 26 Feb | Rublev | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 25 Feb | Rublev | 6-4 6-7 6-3 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.