Odds
Player analysis
L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.1 to 17.6, with at least one match where L. Musetti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
R. Collignon has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.1 to 11.4, with at least one match where R. Collignon was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving R. Collignon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Collignon has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 6 Mar | Fucsovics | 5-7 1-6 | L |
| 26 Jan | Fritz | 6-2 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 24 Jan | Machac | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | W |
| 22 Jan | Sonego | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 11 Jan | Bublik | 6-7 3-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Mar | Paul | 6-2 3-6 7-6 | L |
| 21 Mar | Cobolli | 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 19 Mar | Dimitrov | 7-6 4-6 7-6 | W |
| 13 Mar | Bellucci | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 12 Mar | Assche | 5-7 4-6 | W |

