MetepecHardSemi-finals15 Feb 2026 · 17:05
M. Covato
#702 · Italy
VS
N. Rodrigues
#824 · Brazil
COVATO
3.38
·
RODRIGUES
1.31

Odds

Market
Covato
Rodrigues
Winner
3.38
1.31

Player analysis

M. Covato comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -19.1, meaning M. Covato has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.0/10, leaving M. Covato vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Covato has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.

DS -19.1Trend mixed

N. Rodrigues comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.8, meaning N. Rodrigues has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving N. Rodrigues vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -3.82Trend mixed

Recent form

LLLWL

1W 4L last 5

12 AprLima2-6 0-6L
5 AprFenty6-3 6-2L
30 MarColson6-2 6-1L
29 MarAvila3-6 4-6W
15 MarFlores7-6 6-2L

Hard court stats

Covato
Stat
Rodrigues
29.8%
Win rate
34.2%
14–33
W–L
13–25

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted10%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults5
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces2
Double faults1