F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning F. Tiafoe has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.

L. Darderi comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.0 to 15.4, with at least one match where L. Darderi was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving L. Darderi vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.