Odds
Player analysis
G. Diallo comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.5, meaning G. Diallo has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving G. Diallo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Diallo has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -37 over recent matches.
K. Khachanov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.0 to 8.1, with at least one match where K. Khachanov was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — K. Khachanov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 9 Mar | Auger-Aliassime | 7-6 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 7 Mar | Rublev | 7-6 6-7 3-6 | W |
| 4 Mar | Bellucci | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 17 Feb | Walton | 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 10 Feb | Shelton | 4-6 4-6 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 7 Mar | Fonseca | 6-4 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 25 Feb | Brooksby | 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 24 Feb | Shevchenko | 7-6 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 19 Feb | Alcaraz | 6-7 6-4 6-3 | L |
| 18 Feb | Fucsovics | 2-6 6-4 4-6 | W |

