L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.1 to 17.6, with at least one match where L. Musetti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

G. Diallo comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.4, meaning G. Diallo has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving G. Diallo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.