Odds
Player analysis
G. Dimitrov comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.5, meaning G. Dimitrov has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving G. Dimitrov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — G. Dimitrov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -46 over recent matches.
Y. Nishioka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.3, meaning Y. Nishioka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving Y. Nishioka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Y. Nishioka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 8 Mar | Alcaraz | 6-2 6-3 | L |
| 5 Mar | Atmane | 4-6 7-5 4-6 | W |
| 25 Feb | Atmane | 6-3 6-3 | L |
| 10 Feb | Michelsen | 7-5 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Jan | Machac | 4-6 4-6 3-6 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 14 Feb | Wong | 2-6 2-6 | L |
| 7 Feb | Rodionov | 7-5 1-6 0-6 | L |
| 12 Jan | Fatic | 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 5 Jan | Jacquet | 2-6 6-1 7-5 | L |
| 11 Nov | Jung | 6-1 3-6 4-6 | W |

