Odds
Player analysis
A. Donski has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.6 with a downward trend. A. Donski is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.
F. Tabacco comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.1, meaning F. Tabacco has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving F. Tabacco vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 11 Mar | Houkes | 6-7 6-7 | L |
| 10 Mar | Johns | 7-6 7-6 | W |
| 9 Mar | Ionel | 6-3 7-6 | W |
| 8 Mar | Pieri | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 22 Feb | Sanchis | 0-6 6-4 6-4 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 2 Feb | Visker | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 1 Feb | Crisostomo | 0-6 6-4 1-6 | W |
| 18 Nov | Donski | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 12 Aug | Romano | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 10 Aug | Prashanth | 1-6 2-6 | W |

