SantiagoClay1/8-finals26 Feb 2026 · 22:35
C. Garin
#85 · Chile
VS
S. Baez
#64 · Argentina
GARIN
3.13
·
BAEZ
1.41

Odds

Market
Garin
Baez
Winner
3.13
1.41
Total
line 19.0
1.33
Over 19.0
2.88
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.44
Over 19.5
2.5
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
2.24
-2.0 games
1.68
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.34
-2.5 games
1.64
+2.5 games

Player analysis

C. Garin comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -3.4 to 11.7, with at least one match where C. Garin was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 3.52Trend mixed

S. Baez comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.5, meaning S. Baez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving S. Baez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -8.53Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Garin
Stat
Baez
60.1%
Win rate
68%
255–169
W–L
168–79

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

13
Clay 03
Hard 10
C. Garin vs S. Baez head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
SantiagoClay1/8-finalsBaez6-7 6-1 5-7
ATP MiamiHard1/32-finalsGarin6-7 3-6
ATP SantiagoClay1/8-finalsBaez4-6 3-6
CordobaClay1/8-finalsBaez6-4 1-6 1-6