NoumeaHardSemi-finals9 Jan 2026 · 07:25
J. Rodionov
#177 · Austria
VS
B. Ellis
#471 · Australia
RODIONOV
1.39
·
ELLIS
3.23

Odds

Market
Rodionov
Ellis
Winner
1.39
3.23
Total
line 19.0
1.22
Over 19.0
3.5
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.33
Over 19.5
2.83
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
5.4
-6.0 games
1.11
+6 games
Handicap
games
3.56
-5.5 games
1.24
+5.5 games

Player analysis

J. Rodionov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. Rodionov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.

DS 7.35Trend down

B. Ellis has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning B. Ellis has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving B. Ellis vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Ellis has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -30 over recent matches.

DS -3.95Trend up

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

14 MarRomano6-7 6-2 4-6L
13 MarOnclin6-4 6-2W
12 MarKnaff6-1 6-4W
10 MarJanvier4-6 6-1 6-4W
6 MarOfner6-2 3-6 6-3L
Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

12 FebTu6-4 6-4L
10 FebSun7-6 3-6 7-5W
7 FebSchoolkate4-6 4-6L
6 FebMcCabe6-7 6-4 6-3W
5 FebSun6-7 4-6W

Hard court stats

Rodionov
Stat
Ellis
57.9%
Win rate
55%
169–123
W–L
132–108

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted10%
BP saved60%
Aces13
Double faults4