BrisbaneHardQuarter-finals6 Feb 2026 · 08:05
B. Ellis
#471 · Australia
VS
J. McCabe
#246 · Australia
ELLIS
3.18
·
MCCABE
1.4

Odds

Market
Ellis
McCabe
Winner
3.18
1.4

Player analysis

B. Ellis has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning B. Ellis has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving B. Ellis vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Ellis has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -30 over recent matches.

DS -3.95Trend up

J. McCabe comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.0 to 24.2, with at least one match where J. McCabe was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. McCabe has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -34 over recent matches.

DS 4.15Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

12 FebTu6-4 6-4L
10 FebSun7-6 3-6 7-5W
7 FebSchoolkate4-6 4-6L
6 FebMcCabe6-7 6-4 6-3W
5 FebSun6-7 4-6W
Recent form bar chartLLWWL

2W 3L last 5

14 FebChoinski4-6 4-6L
6 FebEllis6-7 6-4 6-3L
5 FebHazawa4-6 4-6W
3 FebIsomura2-6 3-6W
14 JanKjaer6-4 3-6 6-7L

Hard court stats

Ellis
Stat
McCabe
55%
Win rate
58.2%
132–108
W–L
138–99

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted10%
BP saved60%
Aces13
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved30%
Aces10
Double faults1