NoumeaHardQuarter-finals8 Jan 2026 · 08:20
B. Ellis
#471 · Australia
VS
B. Tomic
#187 · Australia
ELLIS
2.88
·
TOMIC
1.47

Odds

Market
Ellis
Tomic
Winner
2.88
1.47

Player analysis

B. Ellis has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.0, meaning B. Ellis has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving B. Ellis vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — B. Ellis has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -30 over recent matches.

DS -3.95Trend up

B. Tomic has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.0, meaning B. Tomic has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.

DS -0.02Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWLWW

3W 2L last 5

12 FebTu6-4 6-4L
10 FebSun7-6 3-6 7-5W
7 FebSchoolkate4-6 4-6L
6 FebMcCabe6-7 6-4 6-3W
5 FebSun6-7 4-6W
Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

20 FebGojo6-3 4-6 6-4L
18 FebBrouwer6-4 3-6 2-6W
16 FebFierros6-7 3-6W
8 FebShimabukuro6-3 6-3L
7 FebArora3-6 2-6W

Hard court stats

Ellis
Stat
Tomic
55%
Win rate
58.8%
132–108
W–L
328–230

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted10%
BP saved60%
Aces13
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults0