Odds
Player analysis
M. Lajal comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.7 with a downward trend. M. Lajal is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving M. Lajal vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Lajal has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.
J. Faria shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 341. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +9.0 (range: -4.0 to 16.4). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Faria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 26 Feb | Herbert | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 24 Feb | Berrettini | 6-3 6-1 | W |
| 7 Feb | Dippenaar | 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 28 Jan | Kotov | 6-3 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 21 Jan | Kukushkin | 6-7 6-2 7-5 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 29 Mar | Burruchaga | 7-6 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 28 Mar | Dellien | 6-4 6-1 | W |
| 27 Mar | Alves | 2-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 27 Mar | Nava | 6-7 1-6 | W |
| 24 Mar | Goncalves | 2-6 2-6 | W |

