Odds
Player analysis
E. Nava has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.3 to 12.4, with at least one match where E. Nava was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving E. Nava vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +18 over the last five.
J. Faria shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 341. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +9.0 (range: -4.0 to 16.4). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Faria vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 24 Mar | Tosetto | 6-4 6-7 7-5 | W |
| 19 Mar | Machac | 6-2 4-6 1-6 | L |
| 11 Mar | Mmoh | 2-6 6-7 | L |
| 6 Mar | Borges | 7-6 7-5 | L |
| 27 Feb | Cerundolo | 6-1 6-1 | L |
4W 1L last 5
| 27 Mar | Alves | 2-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 24 Mar | Goncalves | 2-6 2-6 | W |
| 20 Mar | Midon | 7-6 3-6 6-3 | L |
| 19 Mar | Cigarran | 1-6 2-6 | W |
| 18 Mar | Olivieri | 3-6 6-2 3-6 | W |

