RomeClay1/16-finals11 May 2025 · 11:05
L. Fernandez
#25 · Canada
VS
M. Kostyuk
#27 · Ukraine
FERNANDEZ
3.48
·
KOSTYUK
1.36

Odds

Market
Fernandez
Kostyuk
Winner
3.48
1.36

Player analysis

L. Fernandez comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.9, meaning L. Fernandez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving L. Fernandez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.87Trend mixed

M. Kostyuk comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.1 to 13.1, with at least one match where M. Kostyuk was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving M. Kostyuk vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Kostyuk has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS 1.29Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Fernandez
Stat
Kostyuk
52.3%
Win rate
62.5%
34–31
W–L
60–36

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved70%
Aces1
Double faults3
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces3
Double faults5