MadridClay1/8-finals27 Apr 2026 · 11:00
A. Li
#34 · USA
VS
L. Fernandez
#25 · Canada
LI
2.53
·
FERNANDEZ
1.58

Odds

Market
Li
Fernandez
Change
Winner
2.53
1.58
Total
line 17.5
1.21
Over 17.5
3.58
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.24
Over 18.0
3.34
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
2.1
-2.0 games
1.67
+2 games
Handicap
games
2
-2.5 games
1.74
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Li has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.0 to 10.6, with at least one match where A. Li was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Li vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.

DS 1.14Trend mixed

L. Fernandez shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +8.9 (range: -4.5 to 17.6). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving L. Fernandez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.

DS 8.88Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Li
Stat
Fernandez
62.5%
Win rate
52.3%
55–33
W–L
34–31

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults6

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

20
Hard 10
Clay 10
A. Li vs L. Fernandez head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA DohaHard1/32-finalsLi6-4 6-3
MadridClay1/32-finalsLi4-6 6-3 4-6