Odds
Player analysis
A. Li has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.0 to 10.6, with at least one match where A. Li was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Li vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +14 over the last five.
L. Fernandez shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 47. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +8.9 (range: -4.5 to 17.6). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving L. Fernandez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 17 Apr | Rybakina | 6-7 6-4 7-6 | L |
| 16 Apr | Fernandez | 6-7 6-1 7-6 | L |
| 14 Apr | Eala | 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 2 Apr | Fernandez | 3-6 0-6 | W |
| 1 Apr | Fernandez | 6-2 6-1 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 17 Apr | Kostyuk | 6-0 6-7 6-3 | L |
| 15 Apr | Rakhimova | 6-4 2-6 3-6 | W |
| 13 Apr | Kasatkina | 7-6 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 7 Apr | Yastremska | 7-5 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 21 Mar | Sabalenka | 7-6 6-4 | L |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTA Doha | Hard | 1/32-finals | Li | 6-4 6-3 | |
| Madrid | Clay | 1/32-finals | Li | 4-6 6-3 4-6 |

