MiamiHard1/32-finals21 Mar 2026 · 01:25
A. Sabalenka
#1 · Belarus
VS
A. Li
#36 · USA
SABALENKA
1.03
·
LI
20.49

Odds

Market
Sabalenka
Li
Winner
1.03
20.49
Total
line 14.5
1.04
Over 14.5
7.1
Under 14.5
Total
line 15.0
1.06
Over 15.0
6.55
Under 15.0
Handicap
games
11.2
-10.5 games
1.01
+10.5 games
Handicap
games
10.5
-10.0 games
1.02
+10 games

Player analysis

A. Sabalenka arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-29 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Sabalenka vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 11.69Trend mixed

A. Li comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.9, meaning A. Li has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Li vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -1.85Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Sabalenka
Stat
Li
72.8%
Win rate
57.1%
302–113
W–L
144–108

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted60%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces8
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

10
Hard 10
A. Sabalenka vs A. Li head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA CincinnatiHard1/16-finalsSabalenka5-7 6-2 4-6