StuttgartClay17 Apr 2026 · 18:30
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
VS
L. Fernandez
#25 · Canada
RYBAKINA
1.081
·
FERNANDEZ
10.03
10.15

Odds

Market
Rybakina
Fernandez
Change
Winner
1.081
10.03
+-0.12
Total
line 19.5
2
Over 19.5
1.88
Under 19.5
Total
line 18.5
1.61
Over 18.5
2.17
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
1.83
-5.5 games
1.9
+5.5 games
Handicap
games
2.53
-6.5 games
1.47
+6.5 games

Player analysis

E. Rybakina comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 22 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.8. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+33) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 6.84Trend mixed

L. Fernandez has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -21.6 to 21.9, with at least one match where L. Fernandez was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving L. Fernandez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.41Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Rybakina
Stat
Fernandez
69.4%
Win rate
52.3%
75–33
W–L
34–31

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
Aces7
Double faults2
BP saved80%
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces1
Double faults4

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

22
Indoor 10
Hard 12
E. Rybakina vs L. Fernandez head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
TokyoIndoor1/8-finalsRybakina4-6 3-6
WashingtonHardSemi-finalsFernandez6-7 7-6 7-6
WTA CincinnatiHard1/16-finalsFernandez3-6 7-6 6-4
WTA DohaHardQuarter-finalsRybakina4-6 2-6