Odds
Player analysis
A. Fils comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 24 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.8 to 16.3, with at least one match where A. Fils was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.
L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.1 to 17.6, with at least one match where L. Musetti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+26) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 16 Apr | Nakashima | 6-2 6-3 | W |
| 14 Apr | Atmane | 4-6 6-4 7-6 | W |
| 27 Mar | Lehecka | 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 26 Mar | Paul | 7-6 6-7 6-7 | W |
| 24 Mar | Vacherot | 4-6 7-6 4-6 | W |

