Odds
Player analysis
M. Landaluce has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.1 with a downward trend. M. Landaluce is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving M. Landaluce vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.1 to 17.6, with at least one match where L. Musetti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 11 Apr | Collignon | 6-1 6-4 | L |
| 10 Apr | Gaston | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 9 Apr | Cecchinato | 6-4 6-4 | W |
| 7 Apr | Arnaboldi | 6-4 2-6 6-2 | W |
| 25 Mar | Lehecka | 6-7 5-7 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 8 Apr | Vacherot | 6-7 5-7 | L |
| 6 Mar | Fucsovics | 5-7 1-6 | L |
| 26 Jan | Fritz | 6-2 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 24 Jan | Machac | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | W |
| 22 Jan | Sonego | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | W |

