Odds
Player analysis
C. Moutet has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving C. Moutet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.1 to 17.6, with at least one match where L. Musetti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +17 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 13 Apr | Buse | 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 8 Apr | Ruud | 5-7 3-6 | L |
| 7 Apr | Muller | 6-4 6-1 | W |
| 3 Apr | Trungelliti | 6-4 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 1 Apr | Baadi | 6-0 6-2 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 14 Apr | Landaluce | 5-7 2-6 | W |
| 8 Apr | Vacherot | 6-7 5-7 | L |
| 6 Mar | Fucsovics | 5-7 1-6 | L |
| 26 Jan | Fritz | 6-2 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 24 Jan | Machac | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | W |