MadridClay1/16-finals26 Apr 2026 · 11:00
A. Fils
#25 · France
VS
E. Nava
#116 · USA

Odds

Market
Fils
Nava
Change
Winner
Total
line 20.5
1.8
Over 20.5
1.91
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.5
1.94
Over 21.5
1.77
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
1.91
-4.5 games
1.8
+4.5 games
Handicap
games
2.28
-5.5 games
1.48
+5.5 games

Player analysis

A. Fils arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-30 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +9.3 (range: 1.8 to 16.3). Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 9.28Trend up

E. Nava has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.3, meaning E. Nava has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving E. Nava vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +21 over the last five.

DS -0.26Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Fils
Stat
Nava
60.8%
Win rate
65.6%
87–56
W–L
107–56

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved70%
Aces2
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces9
Double faults3