A. Rublev comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.1 to 17.1, with at least one match where A. Rublev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Rublev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -22 over recent matches.

A. Fils shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 71. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.8 to 37.7, with at least one match where A. Fils was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+42) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.