WashingtonHardFinal27 Jul 2025 · 23:55
A. Davidovich Fokina
#17 · Spain
VS
A. De Minaur
#6 · Australia
FOKINA
2.92
·
MINAUR
1.47

Odds

Market
Fokina
Minaur
Winner
2.92
1.47
Total
line 17.5
1.08
Over 17.5
5.86
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.5
1.23
Over 18.5
3.5
Under 18.5
Handicap
games
2.26
-2.0 games
1.69
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.11
-2.5 games
1.79
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Davidovich Fokina comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.0, meaning A. Davidovich Fokina has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Davidovich Fokina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Davidovich Fokina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -24 over recent matches.

DS -1.02Trend mixed

A. De Minaur comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.6, meaning A. De Minaur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. De Minaur has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS -2.61Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Fokina
Stat
Minaur
56.2%
Win rate
64.7%
154–120
W–L
255–139

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces5
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

12
Hard 02
Grass 10
A. Davidovich Fokina vs A. De Minaur head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WashingtonHardFinalMinaur7-5 1-6 6-7
ATP TorontoHardSemi-finalsMinaur1-6 3-6
LondonGrass1/8-finalsFokina6-4 4-6 5-7