Odds
Player analysis
R. Opelka comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.1, meaning R. Opelka has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.8/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Opelka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -33 over recent matches.
A. Davidovich Fokina has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Davidovich Fokina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 13 Apr | Quinn | 5-7 6-7 | L |
| 22 Mar | Fritz | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Draper | 6-7 6-7 | W |
| 19 Mar | Borges | 6-7 6-2 7-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Shelton | 6-7 7-6 6-3 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 25 Apr | Carreno-Busta | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 21 Mar | Halys | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 10 Mar | Tien | 4-6 6-1 7-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Mensik | 6-2 4-6 6-2 | W |
| 7 Mar | Svajda | 7-6 6-2 | W |

