MiamiHard1/32-finals20 Mar 2026 · 21:30
J. Draper
#25 · United Kingdom
VS
R. Opelka
#67 · USA
DRAPER
1.29
·
OPELKA
3.95

Odds

Market
Draper
Opelka
Winner
1.29
3.95
Total
line 19.5
1.17
Over 19.5
3.95
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.0
1.2
Over 20.0
3.78
Under 20.0
Handicap
games
8.9
-6.5 games
1.04
+6.5 games
Handicap
games
10.5
-6.0 games
1.02
+6 games

Player analysis

J. Draper has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning J. Draper has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving J. Draper vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Draper has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

DS -0.14Trend mixed

R. Opelka has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.9 to 11.8, with at least one match where R. Opelka was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (7.0/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Opelka has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS 0.02Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Draper
Stat
Opelka
72.6%
Win rate
56.6%
167–63
W–L
154–118

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
Aces7
Double faults3
BP saved60%
1st serve %70%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP saved80%
Aces20
Double faults3
BP converted40%