Odds
Player analysis
T. Fritz has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
A. De Minaur comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.6, meaning A. De Minaur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. De Minaur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. De Minaur has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 21 Mar | Tsitsipas | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Norrie | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 8 Mar | Korda | 6-4 4-6 4-6 | W |
| 24 Feb | Kypson | 6-1 6-7 7-6 | L |
| 15 Feb | Minaur | 6-3 6-2 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 24 Mar | Lehecka | 6-4 6-7 6-2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Opelka | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 20 Mar | Zandschulp | 3-6 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 9 Mar | Michelsen | 6-4 7-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Fearnley | 3-6 7-6 1-6 | W |
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finals - Turin | Indoor | Minaur | 6-7 3-6 | ||
| ATP Davis Cup - World Group | Hard | Fritz | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| ATP Finals - Turin | Indoor | Fritz | 5-7 6-4 6-3 | ||
| ATP United Cup | Hard | Minaur | 4-6 2-6 | ||
| ATP Toronto | Hard | 1/8-finals | Minaur | 6-7 6-4 1-6 | |
| Eastbourne | Grass | Semi-finals | Fritz | 6-1 6-7 6-3 | |
| Indian Wells | Hard | 1/8-finals | Fritz | 3-6 6-4 7-6 | |
| US Open | Hard | 1/64-finals | Fritz | 7-6 6-2 1-6 6-4 | |
| Basel | Indoor | 1/8-finals | Minaur | 6-3 6-3 |