TokyoHard1/16-finals24 Sep 2025 · 11:00
M. Fucsovics
#58 · Hungary
VS
F. Tiafoe
#20 · USA
FUCSOVICS
1.79
·
TIAFOE
2.12

Odds

Market
Fucsovics
Tiafoe
Winner
1.79
2.12
Total
line 19.5
1.25
Over 19.5
3.44
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.0
1.27
Over 20.0
3.28
Under 20.0
Handicap
games
1.29
-4.0 games
3.13
+4 games
Handicap
games
1.42
-3.5 games
2.59
+3.5 games

Player analysis

M. Fucsovics comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.9 to 17.1, with at least one match where M. Fucsovics was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving M. Fucsovics vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Fucsovics has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -38 over recent matches.

DS 0.03Trend mixed

F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning F. Tiafoe has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.

DS -5.14Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Fucsovics
Stat
Tiafoe
58%
Win rate
57.1%
276–200
W–L
248–186

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved50%
Aces6
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults1