Odds
Player analysis
C. Garin comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.1 to 14.5, with at least one match where C. Garin was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
A. Rinderknech comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.2, meaning A. Rinderknech has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Rinderknech vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Rinderknech has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 5 Apr | Basilashvili | 5-7 0-6 | W |
| 4 Apr | Jong | 7-5 1-6 6-1 | W |
| 16 Mar | Draxl | 6-4 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 11 Mar | Svrcina | 4-6 4-6 | L |
| 26 Feb | Baez | 6-7 6-1 5-7 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 21 Mar | Atmane | 7-6 6-3 | L |
| 10 Mar | Alcaraz | 6-7 6-3 6-2 | L |
| 26 Feb | Rublev | 6-2 6-4 | L |
| 25 Feb | Draper | 7-5 6-7 6-4 | W |
| 24 Feb | Marozsan | 6-3 3-6 4-6 | W |

