Odds
Player analysis
F. Roncadelli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +1.1 with a downward trend. F. Roncadelli is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving F. Roncadelli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+27) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
C. Garin has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Garin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 22 Mar | Cadenasso | 6-7 0-6 | L |
| 22 Mar | Varillas | 4-6 6-2 6-2 | W |
| 21 Mar | Silva | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | W |
| 20 Mar | Vallejo | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 9 Mar | Alboran | 4-6 3-6 | L |
3W 2L last 5
| 8 Apr | Zverev | 6-4 4-6 5-7 | L |
| 6 Apr | Arnaldi | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 5 Apr | Basilashvili | 5-7 0-6 | W |
| 4 Apr | Jong | 7-5 1-6 6-1 | W |
| 16 Mar | Draxl | 6-4 4-6 2-6 | L |

