T. Skatov comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.7 to 20.8, with at least one match where T. Skatov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving T. Skatov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Skatov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -32 over recent matches.

C. Garin has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Garin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.