US OpenHardQuarter-finals18 Aug 2025 · 18:45
C. Garin
#109 · Chile
VS
Y. Watanuki
#234 · Japan

Odds

Market
Garin
Watanuki
Winner

Player analysis

C. Garin has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving C. Garin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — C. Garin has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS 5.04Trend down

Y. Watanuki has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -2.6 to 16.7, with at least one match where Y. Watanuki was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving Y. Watanuki vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 8.42Trend down

Recent form

Hard court stats

Garin
Stat
Watanuki
47%
Win rate
59.6%
79–89
W–L
180–122

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults3
1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces7
Double faults4