RomeClay4 May 2026 · 13:00
A. Pellegrino
#130 · Italy
VS
H. Gaston
#115 · France
PELLEGRINO
2.15
·
GASTON
1.73

Odds

Market
Pellegrino
Gaston
Change
Winner
2.15
1.73
Total
line 19.0
1.29
Over 19.0
3.04
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.4
Over 19.5
2.56
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
1.61
-3.0 games
2.15
+3 games
Handicap
games
1.54
-3.5 games
2.28
+3.5 games

Player analysis

A. Pellegrino comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.9, meaning A. Pellegrino has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Pellegrino has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS -2.87Trend up

H. Gaston comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.7 to 43.7, with at least one match where H. Gaston was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving H. Gaston vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +13 over the last five.

DS 1.58Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Pellegrino
Stat
Gaston
54.4%
Win rate
57.1%
233–195
W–L
112–84

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults3