CagliariClay1/16-finals29 Apr 2026 · 12:00
A. Pellegrino
#130 · Italy
VS
S. Sakellaridis
#214 · Greece
PELLEGRINO
2.53
·
SAKELLARIDIS
1.56

Odds

Market
Pellegrino
Sakellaridis
Change
Winner
2.53
1.56
Total
line 21.5
1.69
Over 21.5
2
Under 21.5
Total
line 22.0
1.82
Over 22.0
2.01
Under 22.0
Handicap
games
1.99
-2.0 games
1.71
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.93
-2.5 games
1.9
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Pellegrino comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.8, meaning A. Pellegrino has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Pellegrino has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS -3.82Trend mixed

S. Sakellaridis shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 395. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.5 to 59.4, with at least one match where S. Sakellaridis was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Sakellaridis has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS 13.38Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Pellegrino
Stat
Sakellaridis
54.4%
Win rate
44%
233–195
W–L
48–61

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %50%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults1