MadridClay20 Apr 2026 · 10:00
A. Pellegrino
#131 · Italy
VS
M. Damm
#124 · USA
PELLEGRINO
1.89
·
DAMM
1.94

Odds

Market
Pellegrino
Damm
Change
Winner
1.89
1.94
Total
line 20.0
1.26
Over 20.0
3.2
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.36
Over 20.5
2.7
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
3.4
-4.0 games
1.26
+4 games
Handicap
games
2.68
-3.5 games
1.4
+3.5 games

Player analysis

A. Pellegrino has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.3 to 12.2, with at least one match where A. Pellegrino was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Pellegrino vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.19Trend up

M. Damm comes into this match in difficult form — 0 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -12.7, meaning M. Damm has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Damm vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Damm has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS -12.68Trend up

Recent form

Clay court stats

Pellegrino
Stat
Damm
54.4%
Win rate
49.4%
233–195
W–L
40–41

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces4
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces10
Double faults5