C. Gauff comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 29 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving C. Gauff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

V. Kudermetova comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.5 to 21.9, with at least one match where V. Kudermetova was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving V. Kudermetova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — V. Kudermetova has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.