Odds
Player analysis
A. Tomljanovic comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -6.6 to 20.4, with at least one match where A. Tomljanovic was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving A. Tomljanovic vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+26) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
C. Gauff comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 29 on average. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving C. Gauff vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 31 Mar | Vekic | 6-3 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 20 Mar | Anisimova | 6-1 5-7 6-4 | L |
| 17 Mar | Waltert | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 8 Mar | Paolini | 5-7 7-5 1-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Wang | 3-6 1-6 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 28 Mar | Sabalenka | 6-2 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 26 Mar | Muchova | 6-1 6-1 | W |
| 25 Mar | Bencic | 3-6 6-1 3-6 | W |
| 23 Mar | Cirstea | 4-6 6-3 2-6 | W |
| 22 Mar | Parks | 6-3 0-6 1-6 | W |

