K. Smith comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.0, meaning K. Smith has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving K. Smith vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.

A. Ghibaudo shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 441. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +2.7 with a downward trend. A. Ghibaudo is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving A. Ghibaudo vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +22 over the last five.