ChengduHard1/8-finals19 Sep 2025 · 07:15
L. Sonego
#66 · Italy
VS
M. Giron
#69 · USA
SONEGO
1.85
·
GIRON
2.04

Odds

Market
Sonego
Giron
Winner
1.85
2.04
Total
line 20.0
1.28
Over 20.0
3.22
Under 20.0
Total
line 20.5
1.38
Over 20.5
2.77
Under 20.5
Handicap
games
3.4
-4.0 games
1.25
+4 games
Handicap
games
2.68
-3.5 games
1.39
+3.5 games

Player analysis

L. Sonego comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning L. Sonego has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving L. Sonego vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Sonego has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.

DS -0.08Trend mixed

M. Giron has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.6 to 7.4, with at least one match where M. Giron was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Giron vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.47Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Sonego
Stat
Giron
49.1%
Win rate
54.4%
136–141
W–L
246–206

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults1