Odds
Player analysis
L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.1 to 17.6, with at least one match where L. Musetti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.
D. Goffin comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -12.3, meaning D. Goffin has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving D. Goffin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 8 Apr | Vacherot | 6-7 5-7 | L |
| 6 Mar | Fucsovics | 5-7 1-6 | L |
| 26 Jan | Fritz | 6-2 7-5 6-4 | W |
| 24 Jan | Machac | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | W |
| 22 Jan | Sonego | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 11 Apr | Nava | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 5 Apr | Nava | 3-6 7-6 6-7 | L |
| 4 Apr | Buse | 6-2 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 12 Mar | Bautista-Agut | 6-1 6-4 | L |
| 2 Mar | Tseng | 6-4 6-1 | L |

