Odds
Player analysis
A. Vatutin has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.7 to 14.5, with at least one match where A. Vatutin was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving A. Vatutin vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
A. Guerrieri shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 201. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.6. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Guerrieri vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 28 Nov | Martin | 6-1 7-5 | L |
| 27 Nov | Rocha | 7-6 6-2 | W |
| 25 Nov | Agamenone | 2-6 6-1 7-5 | W |
| 24 Nov | Montagud | 7-5 3-6 3-6 | L |
| 23 Nov | Luis | 6-2 6-3 | W |
4W 1L last 5
| 28 Apr | Faria | 3-6 7-6 4-6 | L |
| 26 Apr | Svrcina | 4-6 6-2 1-6 | W |
| 25 Apr | Tiffon | 6-3 7-5 | W |
| 24 Apr | Jianu | 1-6 4-6 | W |
| 23 Apr | Fery | 6-4 6-3 | W |

