R. Hijikata comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.4 with a downward trend. R. Hijikata is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving R. Hijikata vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Hijikata has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.

F. Tiafoe has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.1, meaning F. Tiafoe has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Tiafoe vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +23 over the last five.