Odds
Player analysis
R. Matsuda comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.2, meaning R. Matsuda has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving R. Matsuda vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
T. Ichikawa has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -4.8 to 10.4, with at least one match where T. Ichikawa was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving T. Ichikawa vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 2 Mar | Ostapenkov | 6-1 4-6 6-3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Huang | 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 4 Jan | M. | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 25 Nov | Shiraishi | 4-6 6-3 5-7 | L |
| 24 Nov | Jones | 6-4 7-5 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 6 Jan | Shimizu | 3-6 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 5 Jan | Sciahbasi | 5-7 4-6 | W |
| 4 Jan | Mochizuki | 7-5 6-3 | W |
| 24 Nov | Bicknell | 7-5 5-7 7-5 | L |
| 23 Nov | Hudd | 6-2 6-7 7-6 | W |

