MiamiHard1/16-finals22 Mar 2025 · 16:00
O. Jabeur
#345 · Tunisia
VS
J. Paolini
#9 · Italy

Odds

Market
Jabeur
Paolini
Winner

Player analysis

O. Jabeur comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.5, meaning O. Jabeur has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.6/10, leaving O. Jabeur vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -3.51Trend down

J. Paolini has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.4 to 20.8, with at least one match where J. Paolini was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving J. Paolini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 0.5Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Jabeur
Stat
Paolini
57.7%
Win rate
54.2%
209–153
W–L
147–124

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved80%
Aces2
Double faults3
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

32
Clay 22
Grass 10
O. Jabeur vs J. Paolini head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
BerlinClay1/8-finalsJabeur1-6 3-6
RomeClay1/16-finalsPaolini6-4 6-3
WTA StuttgartClay1/8-finalsPaolini7-6 6-4
WTA EastbourneGrass1/16-finalsJabeur3-6 2-6
MadridClay1/32-finalsJabeur7-6 6-1