Odds
Player analysis
R. Jodar shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 70. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.3 to 26.5, with at least one match where R. Jodar was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.9/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+27) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
S. Shimabukuro comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.0, meaning S. Shimabukuro has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving S. Shimabukuro vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Shimabukuro has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -26 over recent matches.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 5 Apr | Trungelliti | 3-6 2-6 | W |
| 4 Apr | Carabelli | 6-2 6-1 | W |
| 2 Apr | Machac | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | W |
| 31 Mar | Lajovic | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 22 Mar | Etcheverry | 5-7 4-6 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 24 Mar | Honda | 1-6 4-6 | L |
| 17 Mar | Basilashvili | 6-2 6-1 | L |
| 16 Mar | Bolt | 2-6 7-6 3-6 | W |
| 5 Mar | Shevchenko | 6-4 3-6 6-2 | L |
| 3 Mar | Landaluce | 2-6 7-6 5-7 | W |

