F. Jones comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -7.3, meaning F. Jones has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving F. Jones vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Jones has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -11 over recent matches.

J. Pegula arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-40 opposition. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.