J. Pegula arrives in exceptional form — five wins from five, all against top-38 opposition. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +9.4 (range: 4.1 to 22.1). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

J. Ostapenko comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.6 to 16.3, with at least one match where J. Ostapenko was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.3/10, leaving J. Ostapenko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.