E. Svitolina has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Matches have been close throughout — average DS of +0.6 with a downward trend. E. Svitolina is winning on the scoreboard but not pulling away. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving E. Svitolina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +12 over the last five.

J. Pegula shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 32. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Pegula has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.