WTA DubaiHardFinal21 Feb 2026 · 16:15
E. Svitolina
#7 · Ukraine
VS
J. Pegula
#5 · USA
SVITOLINA
2.43
·
PEGULA
1.63

Odds

Market
Svitolina
Pegula
Winner
2.43
1.63

Player analysis

E. Svitolina has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Dominance has been solid and consistent, averaging DS +10.0 (range: -9.1 to 31.8). The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving E. Svitolina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 10.04Trend up

J. Pegula shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 34. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.6 to 22.1, with at least one match where J. Pegula was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.16Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Svitolina
Stat
Pegula
67.1%
Win rate
66.4%
330–162
W–L
290–147

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

34
Hard 24
Grass 10
E. Svitolina vs J. Pegula head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA DubaiHardFinalPegula2-6 4-6
Indian WellsHard1/8-finalsSvitolina5-7 6-1 6-2
DohaHard1/16-finalsPegula3-6 6-7
Olympic GamesGrass1/16-finalsSvitolina6-4 1-6 3-6
WTA US OpenHard1/16-finalsPegula4-6 6-4 2-6
WTA WashingtonHardQuarter-finalsPegula4-6 6-3 6-4
Abu DhabiHard1/32-finalsSvitolina4-6 3-6