Odds
Player analysis
A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 57. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +12.9, trending upward over the last three matches. Serve quality has been average (7.4/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Zverev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
J. De Jong comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.5, meaning J. De Jong has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving J. De Jong vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 28 Mar | Sinner | 3-6 6-7 | L |
| 27 Mar | Cerundolo | 1-6 2-6 | W |
| 25 Mar | Halys | 6-7 6-7 | W |
| 23 Mar | Cilic | 2-6 7-5 4-6 | W |
| 22 Mar | Damm | 2-6 4-6 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 4 Apr | Garin | 7-5 1-6 6-1 | L |
| 30 Mar | Hanfmann | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 25 Mar | Butvilas | 7-5 2-6 6-4 | L |
| 24 Mar | Pieri | 7-5 1-6 6-7 | W |
| 21 Mar | Baena | 6-2 4-6 4-6 | L |