WTA Indian WellsHard1/16-finals9 Mar 2026 · 04:10
V. Mboko
#9 · Canada
VS
A. Kalinskaya
#21 · Russia
MBOKO
1.59
·
KALINSKAYA
2.53

Odds

Market
Mboko
Kalinskaya
Winner
1.59
2.53

Player analysis

V. Mboko has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +6.4. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving V. Mboko vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+48) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 6.36Trend down

A. Kalinskaya comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.3, meaning A. Kalinskaya has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving A. Kalinskaya vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Kalinskaya has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.

DS -8.31Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

12 MarSabalenka7-6 6-4L
11 MarAnisimova6-4 6-1W
9 MarKalinskaya6-4 6-1W
6 MarBirrell6-4 7-6W
14 FebMuchova6-4 7-5L
Recent form bar chartLWLWL

2W 3L last 5

9 MarMboko6-4 6-1L
6 MarSonmez4-6 6-7W
17 FebGauff6-4 6-4L
16 FebOstapenko6-2 1-6 4-6W
12 FebMuchova6-3 6-4L

Hard court stats

Mboko
Stat
Kalinskaya
73.4%
Win rate
%
80–29
W–L

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted70%
BP saved80%
Aces6
Double faults4
1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted30%
BP saved40%
Aces2
Double faults2

Head to head

20
Hard 20
V. Mboko vs A. Kalinskaya head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Indian WellsHard1/16-finalsMboko6-4 6-1
WTA AdelaideHard1/8-finalsMboko6-2 3-6 7-6